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Study on electromobility: China is driving the market

Study on electric mobility
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I m According to the CAM study, around 507,000 e-cars (New Energy Vehicles (NEV)) were sold in China in 2016, increasing e-vehicle sales by 53 percent compared to the previous year and the market share from 1.3 to 1.8 percent in new registrations increased. Two thirds of the focus is on electrically powered cars, with commercial vehicles growing strongly. It is also noteworthy that the Chinese market mainly relies on purely electrically powered vehicles; hybrid models only have a share of 19%. The Chinese rely on national products. Apart from Tesla, there is no foreign manufacturer in the top 20 of the best-selling models.

China remains number 1 electric car market

According to the CAM study, China will continue to be the lead market for Electric mobility will remain, especially because China is planning an electric car quota. According to this, the manufacturers would have to achieve a NEV quota of 8 percent in 2018 and 12 percent in 2020, which is calculated using a point system depending on the range of the electric vehicles.

Germany is far behind

The electric car markets in the USA and Europe are rather modest. In the USA, new registrations of electric cars rose by 38 percent compared to 2015. More than 157,000 e-vehicles were sold in 2016, of which around 84,000 battery electric vehicles (BEV) were sold (+ 18%).

Norway is continuing its special role in Europe and will have around 45,000 electric vehicles in 2016 ( + 38%). As in the previous year, Great Britain can also increase its e-vehicle sales and sells around 37,000 units, 29% more than last year. Here, too, the high proportion of newly registered plug-in hybrids (+ 42%) is responsible for the large growth. In France, new e-car registrations also increased significantly to 29,179 (+ 28%). BEVs account for 67 percent of electric car sales, while plug-in hybrids account for 33 percent.

Despite the subsidy, Germany only has 25,154 electric vehicles (+ 7.0%). Only the plug-in hybrids increased to 13,744 vehicles (+ 24%), while with 11,410 new registrations the pure electric vehicles (BEV) even showed a downward trend (-7.7%).

E- Auto boom from 2020 at the earliest

In its study, CAM assumes only moderate growth rates for electromobility over the next few years. Only from 2020 onwards could new models and legal requirements in various markets ensure significantly increased dynamism. Based on the CAM scenarios, theglobal new registrations of e-cars will only increase moderately up to 2020 and range between 2.5 and 6%. After that, however, a broad product offensive by global manufacturers can be expected to lead to massive growth in the e-mobility market. In the optimistic scenario, around 25% or 25 million newly registered electric cars per year are expected in 2025 (conservative: 12%). These could then increase to 40% or around 40 million electrically powered cars by 2030 (conservative: 25%).

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