Formula 1: Analysis of the test times of Jerez

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Formula 1: Analysis of the test times of Jerez
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A n Thursday the last of the four test dates. Then the teams will finally uncover the aerodynamic developments with which they will also start at the start of the season in Bahrain. Only then will you get a rough idea of ​​the real balance of power.

Former Formula 1 driver Martin Brundle is certain: 'At some point everyone will fill up just to know for themselves where they stand.' When the Jerez test has expired, it is actually only worth analyzing the last day of the test. He was dry throughout. The track already had a rubber pad from the day before. So somewhat comparable conditions prevailed. Nevertheless, there are still some unknowns, as an attempt to interpret the lap times shows.

Buttons best time with 15 kilograms of fuel

Let's start with Jenson Button in the McLaren -Mercedes on. The world champion set the fastest time of the eight days of testing in Jerez with 1.18.871 minutes. It was the first flying lap of a four-lap tournament. This suggests that the Englishman drove with little fuel. Especially since he set off for 22 laps three hours later with average lap times in the high 1.24 and low 1.25 range. Six seconds difference, with four tenths per ten kilograms that speaks for a difference of 150 kilograms of fuel. If one assumes that the tank is in the McLaren holds a maximum of 165 kilograms of fuel, Button should have had at best 15 kilograms of gasoline on board during his record drive.

Kubica fast on eight-lap turn

Let's take Robert Kubica, who marked the second fastest lap with 1:19.114 minutes. The Pole completed eight laps in a row, six of them under 1.20 minutes. His best came on the second flying lap. For seven laps and the return trip to the pits, you need at least 18 kilograms of fuel in the tank in Jerez. If the calculation is correct, the new Renault would be R30 not as bad as many feared when the rather staid-looking car first appeared. A gap of 0.243 seconds to the World Cup co-favorite Button is worthy of all honor.

Clean annoys the top teams

Let's get to itKamui Kobayashi, who finished third in Jerez with 1.19,188. The Sauber driver impressed even more than Kubica. Kobayashi was on the track for ten laps in a row. His fastest lap was the first. This was followed by an outlier with 1.21.407 minutes, another five laps in 1.19 times and one lap with 1.20.106 minutes. The Japanese had to leave the clean Box had at least 22 kilograms of fuel in the tank, otherwise it would have been left without fuel during the distance covered.

The example of Kubica and Kobayashi shows that the paper form with the favorites Ferrari, McLaren, Red Bull and Mercedes GP is not firmly cemented. A few so-called outsiders can annoy the top teams.

Question mark behind Mercedes GP

Nico Rosberg was only four laps on his fastest turn like Button Piece on the way. If he had the same starting weight and the same type of tires as Button, his time of 1,20,061 minutes would be a bitter disappointment. But Rosberg could just as easily have set off with a 40 kilogram reserve of petrol. He may have had the hard tires on the car at the time, while Button, Kubica and Kobayashi may have been driving with soft soles. Rosberg set his best time at 4:55 p.m., Button in the morning at 11:09 a.m. The route may have been faster there.

At Rosberg, however, there is a comparative value with a button. In the afternoon the Mercedes - Pilot completed 14 laps in the 1.24 range. If he had filled up like Button in his 22-lap turn, he would be faster under racing conditions. And he would have taken at least 40 kilograms of fuel with him on his fastest lap. If Rosberg had set his best time with as little weight as Button, the long run would have been disappointing. It always depends on which scenario is the more likely.

Ferrari with impressive long runs

Fernando Alonso and Ferrari eluded all comparative calculations because they were only on the road for endurance runs. Alonso drove a 36-lap turn on the last day of testing in Jerez, in which the Spaniard conjured up all times in the range of 1.21 and 1.22 minutes. Even with an optimistic calculation, 36 laps mean a minimum tank capacity of 80 kilograms. In return, Alonso's first lap of 1.21.241 minutes was damn fast. Calculated down to 15 kilograms, i.e. the assumed amount of fuel for the button, Alonso would have been 2.6 seconds faster. That would result in a time of 1.18.6 minutes. Another two tenths faster than the button.

A sparkTruth is certainly there in the comparisons, but in the end everything remains reading coffee grounds. The truth will only be revealed in Bahrain. And that increases the already great tension among the fans.

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